CAPITAL & RECOVERY
When does an investment recover its cash?
Enter an initial outlay and uneven future cash flows at specific month ends. Compare the first undiscounted and discounted recovery dates, including any later reversal.
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Methodology
Recovery follows the dates cash actually arrives.
The initial outlay starts cumulative cash below zero. Add each supplied net cash flow at its stated month end. Undiscounted payback is the first supplied date at which cumulative cash is nonnegative; no fractional date is inferred between receipts.
Discounted payback uses each cash flow’s present value at an effective annual discount rate, with month count divided by 12. The step chart keeps the balance unchanged between cash-flow dates. Later negative flows may reverse an initial recovery, which is flagged separately.
Illustrative worked example
Invest $100 at month zero and receive $60 at month 12 and $60 at month 24. Undiscounted cumulative cash is −$40 and then $20, so payback is month 24. At 21% effective annual discounting, the receipts are worth about $49.59 and $40.98 today. Their $90.57 total does not recover the initial $100 in the supplied schedule.
| Measure | Illustrative result |
|---|---|
| Initial investment | −$100.00 |
| Cash balance at month 12 | −$40.00 |
| Cash balance at month 24 | $20.00 |
| Discounted balance at month 24 | −$9.43 |
Assumptions and limits
- Payback screens liquidity timing, not total investment merit. It ignores returns after first recovery; compare the full schedule and an appropriate NPV analysis.
- A missing recovery date means no payback in the supplied schedule. Future unentered flows are not forecast or assumed.
- Month ends are relative to the investment date, not exact calendar dates. No day-count, within-month interpolation, IRR, financing or terminal value is supplied.
- The discount rate is a scenario assumption, not a recommended hurdle rate. Match the cash-flow currency, inflation and risk basis before use.
- Payback requires the cumulative balance to reach zero before rounding. A small remaining shortfall still means the investment has not recovered; use the detailed cash schedule when displayed cents appear close to zero.
Can an investment pay back and then lose cash again?
Yes. Later maintenance, refurbishment or closure costs can push cumulative cash below zero after the first recovery. The tool flags this reversal for either series; a first payback date should not be described as permanent cash recovery or profit.
Primary methodology references
ACCA: payback and discounted payback. Use net cash flows and explicit receipt timing; discount flows before accumulating for discounted payback. Month-end input dates and annual-to-month exponents are this calculator’s stated conventions.
Worked examples explain the calculation, not expected business results.